Article originally appeared in Wired 03.06, June 1995
Wired has never been afraid to predict the future. This one from June 1995, on the future of software, is not far off target in general.
'Software Superdistribution' is what we today would call Software as a Service, and even Platform as a Service. Salesforce.com, arguably the biggest success within SaaS so far launched in 1999 – the prediction says 2005, so that’s a bit off, but at least the trend was spotted.
Offshore programming, however, is completely off. 'Our novels will not be written offshore, nor will our programs'. Oh, phhleeease... Offshore programming took off in a big way in the early 0’s – I remember how we had a branded popup blocker made in a day for $10 through Rent-A-Coder in 2002 – we were amazed, and realized how much of a threat this was to our local rock-star attitude coders.
Not saying offshore programming can’t lead to epic fails – but overall, it’s been successful enough to make a huge impact on how software is made today.